Arch Intelligence

Research-driven insights into Bitcoin infrastructure, capital markets, and protocol design.

Research Domains

Bitcoin Fee Market Dynamics

Bitcoin fee markets are stabilizing into two tiers: high-priority consolidation fees (3-5 sat/vB for institutional) and ...

Confidence82%
Bitcoin SystemActive
9 days ago

Liquidation Reliability Index

Arch's liquidation engine achieves 98.2% reliable liquidation execution within the target window. This is enabled by sub...

Confidence88%
Credit & LendingActive
11 days ago

Bad Debt Probability Model

Bad debt emerges when liquidation fails AND price moves against the position. With Arch's 98.2% liquidation reliability,...

Confidence76%
Credit & LendingModerate
14 days ago

Institutional BTC Demand Signals

Institutional demand for Bitcoin financial infrastructure is accelerating. ETF inflows, bank custody services, and prime...

Confidence78%
Macro & CapitalActive
12 days ago

MEV Capture Efficiency on Bitcoin

Bitcoin MEV is captured inefficiently today (builder/miner extraction ~40-60% of available value). Arch's transparent or...

Confidence74%
Bitcoin SystemModerate
17 days ago

Stablecoin Yield Competitiveness

Arch Lend can offer 12-18% APY on USDC collateral (via prime brokerage fee sharing + lending revenue) vs 4-6% on Ethereu...

Confidence71%
Credit & LendingModerate
15 days ago

FROST/ROAST Signing Performance

Arch's FROST/ROAST threshold signing achieves sub-100ms signing for 300ms block times with 50-100 validators. Performanc...

Confidence85%
Security & AdversarialStable
13 days ago

Post-Halving Security Budget

Bitcoin's post-2024 halving security budget (miner rewards + fees) is 60% lower than pre-halving. This creates long-term...

Confidence69%
Bitcoin SystemModerate
24 days ago